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MOC BUYING
Livingston nh 20:51 GMT 10/19/2018
If you want to know whether the STOX are in a correction or something worse play the open on Monday - choose your poison // China stox are in trouble and DAX is down over 15% for the year

For the US economy BEAR markets precede recession by ~6mos // SPX 2640 is a 10 % correction -- don't start thinking recession until you at least see that level

HAIR on FIRE comments are way too early

MOC BUYING
PAR 19:51 GMT 10/19/2018
All puts must expire worthless !

MOC BUYING
PAR 19:47 GMT 10/19/2018
Art cashing sees $ billions of buy orders at and especially after the close ?

Commitment Of Traders Report For 16 October 2018
GVI Trader john 19:44 GMT 10/19/2018
For Amazing Traders monitoring levels on stops for trading strategies...
COT report position highlights:

USDJPY longs leveling

GBPUSD shorts narrowing

USDCAD longs narrowing

AUDUSD shorts steady


EURUSD Commitment of Traders Chart




USDJPY Commitment of Traders Chart




GBPUSD Commitment of Traders Chart




USDCAD Commitment of Traders Chart




AUDUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 19 October 2018
GVI Forex Blog 19:08 GMT 10/19/2018

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 19 October 2018


BREAKING NEWS
PAR 19:00 GMT 10/19/2018
Le silence est froid et claire come Le cristal . Celui qui le brise Le paie .

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 18:31 GMT 10/19/2018
The Brussels princehood thinks that UK needs EU more than EU needs UK, economically speaking.

What Theresa needs to do is to regain control.
To do that she must "change the TV channel" to what is the main issue to the princes: namely the integrity and cohesion of the EU.

There is one rule in negotiation that determines who wins: layout a proposal and keep your mouth shut. (S)He who opens mouth first, loses.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trader john 18:06 GMT 10/19/2018
a new PM

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 17:57 GMT 10/19/2018
john... move on .... to __ ?

German Bunds
PAR 17:57 GMT 10/19/2018
How low can the yield on German bunds go before
every German bank goes bankrupt ?

BREAKING NEWS
Jkt Abel 17:49 GMT 10/19/2018
Euro and cable have seen high today IMO

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trader john 17:49 GMT 10/19/2018
nh- agree 100%. What can she "give" the EU? I don't think she lasts much longer. Its time for the Tories to move on...

BREAKING NEWS
Livingston nh 17:44 GMT 10/19/2018
May briefed business types this afternoon -- she's delusional // the extension idea is a non starter and if she starts to waver on the "non-issue" of NI she is going to be attacked from every side



BREAKING NEWS
GVI Jay 17:11 GMT 10/19/2018  - My Profile
Only buy dips when the Amazibg Trader tells you to do so.

BREAKING NEWS
Jkt Abel 17:06 GMT 10/19/2018
Still buy usd dips it seems, cable just unable to hold gain

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trader john 17:05 GMT 10/19/2018
Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1067 vs. 1063 (+4) prev.
Oil: 873 vs. 869 (+4) prev.
Canada: 191 vs. 195 (-4)


TTN: Live News Special Offer




BREAKING NEWS
GVI 16:49 GMT 10/19/2018
awaiting details. Happy Friday!

BREAKING NEWS
GVI 16:49 GMT 10/19/2018
UK govt reportedly to drop a Brexit demand regarding Irish border in order to ease a deal - press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

BREAKING NEWS
PAR 16:21 GMT 10/19/2018
Have a look at the ECB balance sheet . Hit new alltime record high this week and it is full of Belgium , French , Greek , Italian and Spanish JUNK .

ECB DRAGHI= PONZI=MAFIA
PAR 16:09 GMT 10/19/2018
Thank you Mario . All my long EURUSD positions , all my long commodity positions and all my long USDJPY positions are profitable by this weekend. I knew you wouldn't let me down.



BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 15:22 GMT 10/19/2018
GBP
fwiw BoE's rockstar of banking is scheduled to grab a microphone sometime soon

BREAKING NEWS
GVI 15:19 GMT 10/19/2018
New York Fed Nowcast: cuts Q3 GDP forecast to 2.1% from 2.2% prior; cuts Q4 forecast to 2.4% from 2.8% prior - News from this week's data releases decreased the nowcast for 2018:Q3 by 0.1 percentage point and decreased the nowcast for 2018:Q4 by 0.4 percentage point.- Negative surprises from retail sales data and housing data accounted for most of the decrease.

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Use These Trading Tips or Else
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:09 GMT 10/19/2018  - My Profile
...
Entry: Target: Stop:

Use These Trading Tips or Else


ECB DRAGHI= PONZI
UK JY 15:06 GMT 10/19/2018
PAR, do you just make this up or do you have real info on it?

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:05 GMT 10/19/2018  - My Profile
EURGBP is behind the EURUSD pop. Just broke an AT res at .8810 => if it holds then risk turns to .8825.

BREAKING NEWS
Belgrade Knez 15:00 GMT 10/19/2018
PAR

how does this Italian bonds buying by ECB helps to trade eu please?


ECB DRAGHI= PONZI
PAR 14:58 GMT 10/19/2018
ECB doing monetary and fiscal policy at the same time.

For an unelected official like Draghi that is way above his authority

He has become.a Central Bank Dictator with absolute powers .

BREAKING NEWS
PAR 14:52 GMT 10/19/2018
ECB buys all.Italian bonds it can find .

Italian yields collaps on ECB intervention.

The price is FAKE. The NEWS IS FAKE .

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Existing Homes Sales Miss In September 2018. Lowest Since November 2015
Mtl JP 14:21 GMT 10/19/2018
lets blame the real-estate peddlers
doing crap job
(they need to lower their comms)

Friday Trading Checklist For 19 October 2018
Mtl JP 14:18 GMT 10/19/2018
10-yr 3.202, 3.209 HoD sofar
still oohhhh soooo low


BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trader john 14:03 GMT 10/19/2018
top housing number. Lowest level since November 2015.

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trader john 14:01 GMT 10/19/2018
U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln) September 2018



ALERT

p.a. s.a.: 5.150 vs. 5.310 exp. vs 5.340 (r. ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 13:56 GMT 10/19/2018
or discounting existing house sales at top of hour

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Forex 13:54 GMT 10/19/2018  - My Profile
Italian bonds and stocks rallying, EURUSD following.

Amazing Trader Update
Mtl JP 13:54 GMT 10/19/2018
Jay now that your 77 is chewed , puppy likely heading for 1.1525 +/-

BREAKING NEWS
Livingston nh 13:33 GMT 10/19/2018
Thanx JP
________
Daily dose of Brexit - most of the players won't be around in 12 mos // Is it now ANYBODY but MAY? -- Cable to slide BUT EUR to follow if Italy plus a UK PM change are too much turmoil

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 13:28 GMT 10/19/2018
USDCAD 1.310X

50dma 1.3056
odds are USDCAD
heading further N while 50day holds

I could try a temporary short IF puppy breaches 1.3090/80 , subject to the 50dma , but that would be a low odds trade imo.

BREAKING NEWS
Mtl JP 13:12 GMT 10/19/2018
nh domestic economic situation is going fast from bad to bad-der
Department of Finance Canada will release the Annual Financial Report of the Government of Canada at approximately 11:00 a.m. ET on Friday, October 19"
wall-to-wall debt growing, gdp sputtering, and canadian crap oil been selling at a loss of late

Note the change in expense to protect against weak cad.

BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI Much Weaker Expected September 2018. Sales Miss in August
GVI Forex Blog 13:11 GMT 10/19/2018
Canada: CPI misses expectations big.



Canada: Retail Sales much weaker than expectations

BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI Much Weaker Expected September 2018. Sales Miss in August


Amazing Trader Update
Mtl JP 13:03 GMT 10/19/2018
did pop to 70 stop out the 77 short ?

BREAKING NEWS
Livingston nh 13:03 GMT 10/19/2018
JP - does Poloz back off the rate hike NOW? USD/CAD 1.32

BREAKING NEWS
GVI Trader john 12:50 GMT 10/19/2018
BREAKING NEWS: Canada: CPI (September) Retail Sales ( August) 2018





NEWS ALERT
Headline CPI
mm: -0.10% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.
yy: +2.20% vs. +2.70% exp. vs. +2.80% prev.


Retail Sales
Headline: -0.10% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.
X-Autos: -0.40% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.90% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer


Friday Trading Checklist For 19 October 2018
Mtl JP 12:22 GMT 10/19/2018
GBP 1.3027
Round no.: 1.3050 Res
50day 1.3016
Support at 1.30

Puppy continues to be vulnerable to headline risk
I am thinking unless it punches thru N of 1.3050/60
its bias is tilted south to low 1,29s

Friday Trading Checklist For 19 October 2018
GVI Trader john 12:17 GMT 10/19/2018
Note: expectation for CA CPI m/m updated to +0.10%.
Also the street has priced in a +25bp BOC rate hike to 1.75% for next Wednesday.

Amazing Trader Update
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:09 GMT 10/19/2018  - My Profile
EURUSD
Entry: 1.1477 Target: Stop:

High was dead on at AT's 1.1477 level.

AT always gives you a level to trade.

The Amazing Trader


Bond Market Avalanche
Mtl JP 11:59 GMT 10/19/2018
ib... looks like Reuters' Karen Brettell been reading our discussion

Rising U.S. bond yields pose risks to greenback - RTRS

luckily for the salary-woman, unlike u or me she does not have to worry about timing:

Day to day, higher yields are cited as boosting the U.S. dollar as capital flows into the country to seek out the higher rates. But that correlation does not hold up in the longer term, with higher yields instead being a drain on the currency.


Friday Trading Checklist For 19 October 2018
GVI Trader john 11:58 GMT 10/19/2018
DJ +115
10s 3.192%

Amazing Trader Update
GVI Jay 11:47 GMT 10/19/2018  - My Profile
Looking at AT's shorter time frames, EURUSD has res at

1.1477/87/97

Note firmer EURGBP

Friday Trading Checklist For 19 October 2018
Mtl JP 11:34 GMT 10/19/2018
earlier barnier: dont want to impose hard brexit
haha... as IF "impose" was this grudge-holding frenchman's exclusive purview

Is EURUSD 1.1433 the bottom for today?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:23 GMT 10/19/2018  - My Profile


EURUSD 1.1474

1.1432 is key support across multiple time frames. This 4 hour AT chart shows the line drawn well in advance.

FIBOS:

1.1475 = 50% of 1.1518-1.1433

1.1485 = 61.8%

The Amazing Trader


Is EURUSD 1.1433 the bottom for today?
HK RF@ 11:19 GMT 10/19/2018
.
Euro may rise to 1.1490.
If can't pass 1.1490, the next move will be to 1.1395.
So I am biased to a break below 1.1433, to a lower bottom.

Is EURUSD 1.1433 the bottom for today?
UK JY 11:11 GMT 10/19/2018
The other reason is a buyer of eurgbp. Can't be long gbp over the w/e given risk of Brexit news.

Is EURUSD 1.1433 the bottom for today?
GVI Forex 11:08 GMT 10/19/2018  - My Profile
Italian bond yields still up on the day but off earlier highs, which may be a reason why EURUSD has bounced. .

Amazing Trader Update
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:43 GMT 10/19/2018  - My Profile
EURUSD
Entry: 1.1469 Target: Stop:

Tested AT resistance (cited earlier) at 1.1469, just below 1.1471 AT resistance as well is the key level that needs to hold to keep the risk on the downside and prevent 1.15 coming back on the radar.

The Amazing Trader


Is EURUSD 1.1433 the bottom for today?
GVI Forex 10:21 GMT 10/19/2018  - My Profile
EURUSD
Entry: 1.1433 Target: Stop:

Post your view for what looks like a cautious end to the week.

Amazing Trader Update
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:08 GMT 10/19/2018  - My Profile
Look at EURGBP for the flow behind the pop just now in EURUSD, which by the way held at AT 1.1466 resistance.

See this thread for my offer of a free video on how to use this cross to trade spot.

The Amazing Trader


Friday Trading Checklist For 19 October 2018
GVI Trader john 09:32 GMT 10/19/2018
For AT Trading
See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEUTRAL-NEGATIVE

Spot EURUSD: 1.1445
Pivot Point: 1.1481

This Week: 1.1433-1.1621

Fri: 1.1433-1.1470
Thu: 1.1452-1.1527
Wed: 1.1507-1.1580
Tue: 1.1566-1.1621
Mon: 1.1541-1.1606

20-day avg: 1.1588
50-day avg: 1.1582
100-day avg: 1.1625
200-day avg: 1.1913

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 82% (82%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.173% -2.3bp
DE: 0.410% -2.5
GB: 1.544% -2.0
JP: 0.149% -0.7

DAX: -45
Implied Open
DJ: +53
SP: +5.5



See the Amazing Trader Live!



Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Down. FX: USD & EUR Down
FFT 09:21 GMT 10/19/2018
Look at Italian bonds selling off (higher yields) as a reason for weaker eurusd


Amazing Trader Update
GVI Jay 09:11 GMT 10/19/2018  - My Profile
EURUSD 1.1451

AT levela on both sides tested

1.1433: Key support and. bottom of current range

1.1469: AT resistance
Now 1.1450 sets the tone after bouncing off key support but trades bearish unless 1.1469+ trades.

The Amazing Trader


Friday Trading Checklist For 19 October 2018
GVI Forex Blog 09:05 GMT 10/19/2018

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 19 OCt 2018
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/ Retail Sales
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium


Mon 22 Oct 2018
No Major Data
Tue 23 Oct 2018
No Major Data
Wed 24 Oct 2018
AAll Day Flash PMIs
A 12:30 US- Productivity
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 25 Oct 2018
A 08:00 DE- IFO Survey
AA 11:45 EZ- European Central Bank Decision
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
AA 18:00 US- Beige Book
Fri 26 Oct 2018
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 19 October 2018






Actionable trading levels delivered to YOUR charts in real-time.

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium


Mon 15 Oct 2018
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
Tue 16 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
Wed 17 Oct 2018
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 12:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
Thu 18 Oct 2018
A 1:30 AU- Employment
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 19 OCt 2018
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/ Retail Sales


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com


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